I. UPA ( needs 55-60 more, likely to be with UPA): 1. AIADMK: 25/39 -- INC likely to withdraw TN govt support/dissolve Govt and re-election (Amma to become CM) 2. BSP: 30/80 -- may ask for DyPM or even PM post on time share basis(only needs Power at the centre) 3. Others: 7-8 (10)
4. BJD: 8/21 - very unlikely, possible only if shard pawar/karat is offered PM post 5. PRP : 6/42 - very unlikely, possible only if Chiru is offered CM/DyCm in AP govt if Congress fails to get majority 6. JDU : 20-25 - very unlikely , possible only if allowed to dissolve Bihar govt, opt for re-election with Congress & oferred PM/DyPM post
Possible PM(s)/DyPM: PM/DyPM : Dr Singh/Karat/Pawar/Nitish Kumar/Jayalalitha/Shindhe/Mayavati/Paswan/Mulayam or some new face (bakra) may be a single PM full time (5yrs) or PMs on shared basis (2 or 3).
II. NDA (needs 35-40 more, likely to be with NDA): 1. TDP : 18/42-- if he cant form a Govt at state, he will try at centre 2. AIADMK: 24/39 -- if congress cant give dissolve TN Govt then may support NDA (may ask for DyPM or HM) 3. BSP: 30/80 -- may ask for DyPM (only needs Power at the centre) 4. Others : 4-5 (10)
5. BJD: 8/21 - very unlikely , if it needs BJP's support at Orissa assembly, then only possible 6. PRP : 6/42 - very unlikely, if AP state govt is formed by Congress alone then may support NDA to get some power
Possible PM and Deputy PM: PM : LK Advani DyPM : Mayavathi/Jayalalitha/CB Naidu/(after2011)Modi
