Its a sheer vague method. There is no logic behind this type of selection. Can octopus Paul detect the champion out of 32 teams? If I give him chance even 32!(factorials), how many times it can detect properly I have doubt. Placing the winner (anticipated by the Paul organizer) at the right place was also one trick. Thanks the organizer of Paul and the media for reminding me : the parrot on a wooden box with many envelopes containing the luck of many superstitious people of India.
Re: Oriental Superstition to the Occidental society
by Kempt Killer on Jul 12, 2010 01:04 PM
Detecting a champion out of 32 have the probablity of being true 1/32 times, that is 0.03125 - whereas predicting 8 matches correctly need the probablity of 1/(2 raise to 8)that is 0.039. Which is very close to what it needs to predict a winner from the 32 countries, so your point is illogical
Life span of an octopus is only 3 years. Paul is already 2.5 years old. Hence if india wants paul to predict the 2011 Cricket world cup winner, they should do it now. :-P
If you have carefully noticed, all the winners which Paul has predicted correctly so far were the ones which were placed on the right side of the stand. The flags were placed according to FIFA rules which are alphabetical in nature
Australia - Germany (left - right stand) Germany - Serbia (left - right stand) Ghana - Germany ((left - right stand) England - Germany (left - right stand) Argentina - Germany ((left - right stand) Germany - Spain ((left - right stand))
So you can see all the Paul did was picked the right side of the stand and thus you have the results
For the last third place prediction also , they have done the same thing
Re: Re: Some Logic Behind this !!!!
by Samir Vora on Jul 12, 2010 05:07 PM
yeah even though it is alphabetically germany - ghana, but organizer had put it in that way..!!!!
Re: Re: Some Logic Behind this !!!!
by Samir Vora on Jul 12, 2010 05:08 PM
But it was placed as Uruguay - Germany..You can see it any youtube video of this selection recording...Just to tell you that Paul has been picking only the ones on right side....
Re: Paul - Election ....
by Mandar Apte on Jul 10, 2010 12:21 PM
I request the german aquarium Octopus to leave the Creature deep into the sea. inspite of the loss for the Germans beacuse of Octopus they should throw him into deep ocean. The creature is unncessarily creating tension by predicting. this has negative effect on the players. that is reason germans lost the match against Spain unncessarily.
He is attracted to yellow. In all the flags he was asked to choose, there is always yellow. Germany 0:1 Spa in Argentina 0:4 Germany Germany ; 4:1 England Ghana &nb sp; 0:1 Germany Germany ; 0:1 Serbia Germany &n bsp; 4:0 Australia
You see in all the countries that Germany played against, except Spain no country have yellow color in their flag.
Now when Germany played against Spain, Spain has the more yellow area than Germany. Paul picked Spain.
Now when Spain plays against Dutch, obviously paul will pick Yellow spanish flag.
...... now compare germany vs serbia flag ......as serbia flag contains red colour at 1st block so its more brighter...it will always choose serbia.....
Re: it is choosing brightest flag as winner(coincidence)
by Jagjeet Bains on Jul 10, 2010 02:23 PM
your observation is correct but so is Paul. its not that he just picked yellow, he picked winners
Re: Re: Re: it is choosing brightest flag as winner(coincidence)
by Sivakumar on Jul 10, 2010 08:38 PM
Other than humans the only animal which can see colours is Monkey. rest all animals have B&W vision.