(contd.)UP too it could gain but considering the strong anti-Modi sentiments it remains to be seen how the arithmetic works out and to what extent Amit Shah is able to polarize and get Hindu votes consolidation as being assumed in Varanasi. Further, Cong & BJP are underestimating AAP in Maharashttra where it could make serious inroads and wipe out smaller parties. AAP is also expected to do well in Delhi(7-0),Punjab,Haryana, etc. Even in Gujrat for BJP things are not looking good and could lose couple of seats .Cong on the other hand seems to have cleverly managed to hold its own in Telengana. In AP YSR is winning hands down with TDP just about managing couple of seats at best and no more..After election with YSR expected to join Cong the party seems to be more or less holding its own in South with gains in Karnataka and Kerala making up for the loss in TN. Cong likely to lose substantial seats in Hindi heartland and just about manage a 3 figure mark overall. Other regional parties like AIADMK,TMC,LEFT and AAP could all could emerge strongly to influence govt. formation in centre. We could be heading for 3rd front govt. supported by Cong minus the 1st family with BJP sitting in opposition yet again !
(contd.)People are simply fed up of the Modi…Modi..Modi.. chant and the Modi overkill. The disillusionment of the educated people is complete with Modi supporters---likes of Amit Shah, Giriraj Singh,Togadia,Ramdev…. – and their language of discourse. Moreover people are fed up of Cong-BJP tu-tu..main..main as we see on TV debate daily with very little substance on any issue be it corruption, crminalization of politics….. making from Cong to BJP like from frying pan to fire ! What is the point ? They want total change. Also,overexposure of Modi appears to have boomeranged on BJP and there appears to be economic polarization as seen during Indira’s time with BJP getting tagged with Rich and upper elite over and above large scale anti-Modi sentiment prevailing. It is not good news for BJP which seems to be slipping from the initial surge and their net increase of seats from 2009 elections which were projected close to 100 seats are likely to reduce by half. BJP will gain mainly in Hindi heartland but not to the extent projected. Further BJP is losing badly in Karnataka possibly getting wiped out. In TN thanks to anti-Modi sentiments, Jarya is likey to sweep and in Kerala BJP has no chance. In AP and Telengana again BJP is zero. Same with Bengal and Orissa. So BJP is zero as far as south and east are concerned except for Bihar where it could hold on to its tally or even improve.
Six phases of voting covering little over 2/3 rd seats of 540 plus seats of Parliament are completed and by and large shape of future Parliament and govt. has been cast. Most remarkable part of this time voting has been the ever highest voting %s across the country. One can’t help but feel amused the way explanations are being trotted out by so called experts especially the partisan ones, When we talk of partisan experts obviously the Modi supporters have to be at the forefront given the ultra high level of marketing gimmicks he has adopted for himself not necessarily for the party. The increase in voting % is “Modi wave’ we are told but still all opinion polls predict barely a near majority but still falling short that will require BJP to go allies hunting! So what sort of wave is this ? In 1984 when Rajiv wave swept he got � of the seats ! That is wave .On the other hand as the end of election are approaching Cong seems to be gaining some momentum making them believe still UPA-III a possibility or a Congt supporting a 3rd front govt.! But question is can Rahul win Amethi ? No. Can Sonia win RaeBareli ? No. Is BJP destines to sit in opposition yet again ? Going by the latest voting trends the chances do appear 50-50 even if it is accepted that BJP would be the single largest party.
Re: They need money to vote as well
by KRISHNAMURTHY V on Apr 25, 2014 08:51 AM
Learned fools, in big metros like Mumbai, Bangaluru and Chennai just keep "talking" and "Protesting" of failures of Governments, but when it comes to voting they donot leave the confines of their homes. Shame on you Mumbai!!
The low voter turnout in many of the States today might be due to the severe heat wave experienced throughout the country. To add to that, this being the time of summer vacation, most of the voters must have gone out on holidays. The next time government should choose a time when the weather all over is fairly good and there is no vacation.
Re: No name in Voting List
by Lal Popat on Apr 25, 2014 07:30 AM
Next time, if possible, verify your names are there in the voters list well in advance of elections.
