Cong was also in trouble with NCP but things seem to have been sorted out. It is certainly advantage Cong in Maharashtra. But in TN,DMK is in deep trouble with PMK all set to join AIADMK to the disadvantage of Cong. If Cong too chose to join AIADMK then it would be end of DMK, though it is not likely even though many Cong men feel that it is better to go with Jay than Karuna. The simple reason was Karuna is suffering from anti-incumbency disadvantage though he claimed to be non-existent. Jaya simply on cloud nine with PMK on her side and Vaiko's MDMK, it would be a cake walk for them, leaving DMK alliance in tatters. DMK has to be blamed wholelly for this as it is not keen to keep PMK within its fold to accommodate uncertain Vaijaykant's DMDK. But one factor that would weigh more heavily against Karuna being the Muslim votes. Muslims are a dissatisfied lot as Karuna did nothing but lip sympathy for the community which was with him in all thick and thin. He has simply taken Muslim votes for granted. He is going to be disappointed this time as Muslims are determined to teach him a lesson for ignoring them altogether. From an ardent Dravidian to a superstitious Karuna, with his family members frequenting temples, all going to add to his woes. Taking advantage of his fragile health and slide in his popularity, Jaya is all set to upset all his calculations. Though she may not sweep the poll unlike DMK did last time, she is sure to be a cause of worry for him as she would win more.
UPA is disintegrating even before the campaign for vital elections begins. It all started in UP, where Cong and SP did not sort out their seat-sharing problem much to the advantage of BSP there rather than BJP. The scene then moved to Bihar where Lalu-Paswan completely igonored Cong when they shared between them 37 out of 40 seats leaving only 3 seats to Cong. What Cong wanted was 7 seats. But Lalu and Paswan combine chose to ditch Cong and in a tit for tat, Cong decided to contest 37 seats. This angered Lalu who declared that there would be no reconciliation between them and that Sonia would realise her mistake after the results are out. This is not well for the UPA as NDA which was already facing similar problems from the allies would definitely cash in from the on-going tussel between the partners of UPA. That means UPA would be a non-entity and there is going to be realignment of various elements after the polls are over. The Third Front parties may play a decisive role in the formation of the next govt as no alliance is likely to win to form on its own. This would definitely put Cong under strain as they have to compromise with some regional outfits with whom they have not seen eye to eye in all matters say for example AIADMK of TN. It is still time left for UPA to patch up and fight as a cohesive unit. Cong must understand that it cannot win on its own though they are more popular among the voters on performance and development. But without allies it would be difficult.
Re: UPA SPLIT TO THE ADVANTAGE OF BJP IN PARTICULAR
by Shyam Sen on Mar 22, 2009 10:55 AM
Under what criteria you judged that Congress is popular among voters on performance & development,Mr Jamsheed? On the contrary, the ground realities are quite different ! State elections for the last 2 years and by elections clearly point towards the unpopularity of Congress led UPA Government. The farcical showing of Inflation figures released to the friendly media about almost nil inflation is the greatest joke of many centuries ! Go to the market and get the harsh realities of ever increasing prices of food commodities like rice,wheat,dal & other cereals, packaged foods, consumer items except luxury items & fuel prices. Rail travel became costier due to hidden costs and most importantly due to brazen marketing of seats through Tatkal Scheme. Your inclination towards Congress is also clearly understood for deemed reasons historically.
These communists whether its CPI or CPM, they say something before polls and do something else after polls. Thing is that they don't believe in democratic system! These communists had said before last elections that they will never support a congress or bjp led govt. at centre but look at them they supported them for over 4 years! its the same going to be happen this year, they will ultimately support congress, but this time the results will be different, bjp led nda will be back in power, laloo's party is going to get washed away and in UP bjp will gain the seats with fight between SP and BSP.
When the CPI says that they will not support the congress after the polls, but wouldn't mind their support at governance.These Parliamentary elections are most likely to throw up a hung House; and its best for india as the politicians price, reputation would have come down considerably visavis other organs of governance like judiciary, presidency, etc.. But these elections will be very exciting and our nation will be continuing the experimentation of coalition politics which is good. Should the 3rd Front come to power it will open a fresh chapter in our this experimentation; they will ofcourse fight as to who will lead the pack as PM! The solution as already aired by me and briefly repeated: Let us modify and adopt the Swiss system in which we could make a PM rotational for "X" no. of months directly in proportion to the number of seats won so that all partners have a PM at least once and their political egos are satiated.India stands to benefit most as with every new PM fresh ideas will emerge and we can experiment with them without getting enslaved! Its time both the congress & BJP rested a bit; and joined hands as responsible elders in Opposition. I think, and hope most fervently that readers of this column will not just stand by me but put forth additional ideas to ensure that this political experiment takes place and successfully too. We all would stand to gain; in case the 3rd Front fails, we could always fall back on the old war-horses in the bjp and the congress.
Re: Trust the Commies...?!?
by jaya sharma on Apr 03, 2009 03:09 PM
Do you think the swiss system can work, parties cannot even stick to their election manifesto's will honor such an agreement, the lure of the throne outruns all virtues..:(
Dudes...Dudettes below me are 17 messages commenting on the CPI, please guys they dont deserve half of that and not even one supporting them...i fail to understand CPI which gets 5-10 seats have the audacity to judge the entire Indian public, they are worse than the regional parties...stop bothering to comment on these scum of india...im sure u got better things to do...
Re: As of now 17 messages!!!
by sridharan r on Mar 22, 2009 09:00 AM
CPI has exhibited its double standards unabashedly. If they lose, they wont supprt Congres; but if they win, they want Congress support. They think people are fools to accept their changing colours. Time such parties are wiped out of the election scene by the people.
Mr.A.B.Badhan, you talk about secularism. Now, I am asking you a few questions. Please clarify them if you have political morality. Is it secular to bundle up a lady, Taslima Nasreen in the middle of the night, and that too without prior notice, and forced her out of Kolkata where you and your secular brigade CPI(M) rule uninterrupted for last three decades? Was it because she wrote for hapless Hindus, who constituted 9% of total population in Bangladesh but do not enjoy any political privilege like the Muslim in India enjoy? Do not you have alliance with PDP's Maddani in Kerala who openly harbour anti-Indian elements as per Intelligence Bureau's report? Did not you have alliance with Indian Muslim League, which was responsible for partition of India on communal line, in order to form first Leftist provincial government, in Kerala in 1959. You say Congress is secular party. Is the sponsoring of 1984 Sikh genocide in which more than 3000 minority Sikhs were butchered in Delhi, secular? And many more. Are not all these aberration of truths? Please note all, these falsifications of truth only bolder the resolve of Modis and Muthaliks. If they are blamed for what has happened in Gujurat 2002 and very recently in Mangalore, you are not less. How long will you survive in politics relying on this propaganda? Can not you see the shrinkage of influence of Marxist concept world wide forcing you to irrelevance? Healthy democracy needs opposition, but not of your type. Please mind it.
I wish CPI does as promised. But I too know it will not happen. Their Marxist brothers would again join hands with Cong to form another insensible government, that will run for another 5 years. And another election in 2014 and again Cong will lose mandate but undeterred, they will join hands with visionles communists and corrupt SP/BSP/TDP/DMK..etc etc.. and again form a government..and this will go on. I am not hopeful, not optimistic, not foreseeing any change. Yes, the world can, India can not.
Rajnath Vs Arun Jaitley Advani Vs Uma bharti Naqvi Vs Varun gandhi BJP is not a temple building company: Naqvi BJP Now BJP internal politics is in revolt state.
Re: Now BJP internal politics is in revolt state.
by parth sharma on Mar 22, 2009 11:01 AM
my dear babu, Temple is for rural voters and development is for urban vote.you can understand vote game, just support to BJP.
Re: Now BJP internal politics is in revolt state.
by akchatte on Mar 22, 2009 08:08 AM
This is a media's drama. They always have projected Advani-Vajpayee face-off..which was never existing. Now, Jaitley-Rajnath. Which have been sorted out. Uma has written to Advani of her full support. Media is still keeping flags high.
But when veteran Somnath da smashes CPIM, or Abdulla Kutty rejects Karat's dictat, nothing becomes news.
When Sharad says he will be PM. Media carefully ignores it.
In fact Sharad and Sangma left Cong on Sonia's foreigner issue.
When Cong has to bow before even Lalu and manages to get 3 seats in Bihar, no news.
When CPIM government in Kerala is tainted with a multi-million Lavalin scam, media keeps surprisingly silent.
When criminals like Sadhu Yadav joins Cong, media does not sense anything. They are busy sniffing BJP's a$$ only. Keep on licking Sonia's feet, and sniffing BJP's a$$. Good job done.
Re: Re: Now BJP internal politics is in revolt state.
by Atul Neogi on Mar 22, 2009 08:49 AM
Media do Have "selective amnesia" Anything to create a flutter
