Karnataka - BJP sweep, former cong chief minister Bangarappa beaten with stones by his own supporters.. 90% of seats polled going to BJP.
Maharashtra - massive turnout from lower middle class and middle class localities in support of BJP-SS, poor turn out from upper middle class (pseudo sickulars). Muslim vote is not consolidating against BJP-SS. Also congress is set to lose several seats as NCP is campaigning aggressively and encouraging cross voting to destroy cong. Cong already lost Nagpur.
AP - Cong rout.. perhaps the biggest shock to congress.. TDP is destroying congress due to massive incumbency factor.
Assam, MP, Bihar: NDA sweep.. over 90% seats to BJP & allies.
Eastern UP, Orissa: too fickle to predict due to triangular fights between SP-BSP-BJP in one and BJP-BJD-Cong in another.
Overall, the losses in AP and Maha are so significant they cannot be covered with gains in Orissa.
Re: NDA and anti-cong parties sweep phase 2
by lancer on Apr 23, 2009 11:59 PM
the loses in AP and MAHA r for sure but gains for congress in Orissa r probable.
Re: Re: NDA and anti-cong parties sweep phase 2
by CongressIN on Apr 24, 2009 02:08 AM
Very little chance for Congress monarchy to improve in Orissa. Most seats will go to Patanaik.
State where Congress will get some seat is perhaps Rajasthan.
Re: Re: Re: NDA and anti-cong parties sweep phase 2
by galilio on Apr 24, 2009 10:59 AM
Rajasthan gujjars are with bjp as their leader has joined with bjp and contesting in its ticket. also raje has now some sympathy from people and both congress and bjp would be on basis 50:50. congress will gain in following states- west bengal, orissa, kerala,haryana, delhi. BJP will gain in following states- karnataka,M P, gujarat,jharkand,Assam Bihar,chatteshkar. both UPA and NDA will be on equal footings on 50:50 basis in following states -
Rajasthan,Maharastra.
U P - mayawati 25,BJP 17,SP 16,congress 12. tamilanadu - DMk 14,Aidmk 13,congress 6, allies of AIadmk 7. chances are for BJP - one seat either in south chennai,nagarkoil,Ramanathapuram. both in tamilnadu,kerala,Ap BJP will atleast show the increase in vote shares. in kerala it is already 12% vote share for bjp which will be increased to 16/17% this time.
FINAL OUTCOME WILL BE - NDA WILL SECURE MORE SEATS AND BJP WILL BE THE LARGEST SINGLE PARTY AHEAD OF CONGRESS - SAY BJP 150, CONGRESS 132 REST PARTIES WILL BE 236. JJ NAIDU EVEN NAVEEN,PMK,MIDMK,PASWAN,MAMTHA ALL GO WITH BJP BUT WOULD INSIST THAT NITISH KUMAR TO BE P M ( FOR SECULAR VIEW) WHICH FINALLY BJP MIGHT AGREE.THIS WILL BE INSISTED BY NAIDU AND NAVEEN,MAYAVATI ALSO.
Re: NDA and anti-cong parties sweep phase 2
by CongressIN on Apr 24, 2009 02:09 AM
Good analysis, Arpit. Whose analysis they are? There are no exit polls, so these are more guestimate.
Even after Rahul enjoyed power since 5 years he dint make any impact on the psyche on nation, look at varun how decisive he is , that's wat a man become if he talks the truth.
Why many politicians and parties are afraid of Varun. If what he is telling is rubbish, then the voters will reject and punish him appropriatly. Democracy is not only for some people. Media traders also are biased in this matter. Why not they raised alarm when Lalu, Sanjay, AP Congress Chief D Srinivas and MIM MP in Hyd gave more dangerous statements than Varun. If what they practice is called true secularism, then we do not want such biased secularism.
it would be apiece of cake for varun to dislodge his korastani kousin by accurately informing the amethi voters when he himself learns the truth after googling: rahul and sukanya. can varun google?
Division of pakistan is inevitable and will happen very soon. Thank God we had very good leaders post independence or else we would have been in similar situation. The European union wanted to increase sanctions on India during the Godhra riots but could not persuade US to support it. As long as India is a good democracy and stands united, nobody can dare threaten us. Dr. Singh is India's pride and our neighbour's envy.
Re: Divide the crapy pagistan
by rohit Rj on Apr 23, 2009 10:50 PM
Put ur facts right, we don't want to be ruled by a coward PM, time has come for the change and change will come in the form of BJP.
Re: Divide the crapy pagistan
by PKN on Apr 23, 2009 10:52 PM
What a meaningless comment or is it comments .
1. Dont celebrate the collapse of Pakistan with out understanding its consequenses . Pakistan's collapse would mean the creation of small Taliban controlled states . They would be Jehadi minded people who view every non Muslim Indian a Kafir to be exterminated . A civilized Islamic Pakistan is better a Taliban run / Jehadi dominated Pakistan.
2. Dont bullshit that the European Union was getting ready to enforce sactions because of the Post Godhra riots . That crap was nonsense that channels like NDTV and papers like HT published .
3. What do you mean by "As long as India is a good democracy and stands united, nobody can dare threaten us" If that was true what was the 4th standard failed son of a Pakora seller from Pakistan doing 26/11 . Holidaying ?
4. Dr Singh may be our neighbours envy but surely not India's pride . That for Congress Chamchas should be Rahulji !!!!