An American military think tank published a futuristic map 2 years ago in one of its academic journals where NWFP and Baluchistan were shown separate.
1. Now Pushto nationalism is getting mixed with islamic extremism and NWFP is getting destabilized. If somehow Pathan generals in the Pakistani army revolt against the Punjabi establishment, NWFP separation is not beyond imagination. 2. Baluchi nationalists are not getting strength only because Iran fears that Baluchis on Irani side will revolt against Iran if they rise in Pakistan. Iran gave weapons in 70%u2019s and 80%u2019s to Pakistan to crush Baluchi rebellion. 3. Sindhi separatism is difficult because Sindhis are in a small minority in the military and the division between Muhajirs and Sindhis will prevent a cohesive separatist movement. I If Pakistan breaks, it will be a huge change in India%u2019s geopolitical situation full of opportunities and challenges. The key issue is how the nuclear arsenal will be divided among the successor states of Pakistan.
Guys what do you think? Will Pakistan break? In 10/15/20 years or when?
RE:Will Pakistan break? If yes, when?
by Anindya on Mar 12, 2008 06:19 AM Permalink
I am not sure whether Pakistan will break, but I think I am sure that they will be more pro-Indian than being her anti. Already their political leaders are trying to patch up old conflicts with India even at the cost of ever-burning Kashmir !!! The bottomline is they are in the verge of self-destruction, and nobody knows that better than themselves. Now, It totally depends upon the Indian govt. that how we will help or can help. The only thing that I am worried about is that when a nation fails it will try to give its LAST BITE to its greatest enemy, and we all know India is Pakistan greatest enemy according to them. So, we should about anything but act like watchdog monitoring every movement across the border.
RE:Will Pakistan break? If yes, when?
by KALKI on Mar 12, 2008 10:06 AM Permalink
Many things are going to break in next 25 years. World will be hardly recognizable from today's view point. 6.5 billion people growing to become 10 billion is not feasible in this small world of ours. A major war is in-evitable.
