ontrary to BJP and its supporters insinuations that IBN-live got Gujurat wrong, the naked fact is that the channel was spot on. This can be verified by refering to their past predictions published in both print media or internet. The Times of India published IBN-live Gujurat exit polls giving - BJP 92-100 Congress 77-85
Misgivings if any was that their survey failed to project the real magnitude of BJP's win in Gujurat. An analysis of all past opinion polls show that this is more a reflection of methodological failure to convert votes into seat shares.
Opinion polls are accurate pointing the direction the wind blows but seems unable to capture the magnitude of impact of voter's mood precisely in terms of seats. In Gujurat (a 10% vote lead) this led the BJP to get more than their predicted seat share. The Congress in Karnataka holds a 10% vote lead and accordingly on the way to a much larger victory than predicted by IBN-live.
RE:RE:Lies, Lies, Lies
by srivatsa yb on Apr 30, 2008 01:33 PM Permalink
ya agreed....most ppl in this forum simply shout at the top of their voices in support of the BJP...cnn-ibn got the trend right in gujarat
RE:Lies, Lies, Lies
by P ASHOK on Apr 30, 2008 04:14 PM Permalink
how are telling the cnn ibn is right in Gujrath case as it was clearly wrong,still ur supporting cnn ibn ,I think ur employee of that challan
RE:Lies, Lies, Lies
by jagar singh on Apr 30, 2008 05:21 PM Permalink
many of us get carried by sentiment rather than facts.i believe the dissatisfied JD(S) voter will go to congress.if they wanted bjp,they would have voted in 2004 itself.
